Great reflection today in realizing there is still so much to look forward to. To be discovered and infused into our collective thought patterns and aspirations. Seek the truth in all things and be curious for finding newness each day even in the same things we hold dear. Thanks David!
Absolutely love this post and the horse manure fallacy. Makes me think of Y2K and predictions of "planes falling from the sky". Worst case we could have replaced all computers made before a certain year, and that's something we normally do anyway. The belief that "even to haul away the manure required horses, which produced even more manure." is terrible math. The haulers are removing much more than they leave. I guess all fallacies involve incorrect assumptions and some include poor math. I worked with a very smart engineer in a meat processing plant and he claimed "significant amounts of meat was reprocessed over and over for days on end (a never ending cycle resulting in very old meat in our batches)". This was because each batch had about 2% of rework in it. However, the amount of product from the initial batch decreases exponentially as more batches are produced. Pretty soon you are talking PPB and I wouldn't call that significant amounts.
"...The belief that "even to haul away the manure required horses, which produced even more manure." is terrible math." Spoken like a true Continuous Improvement guy.
It’s funny you say that because I’ve been reinventing myself for a while now because AI has been taking over my jobs. Sometimes, I’ve been in that position of thinking that I’m in trouble, but somehow, opportunities continue to appear, and I keep going. Now, that’s kind of the life of an entrepreneur, isn’t it?
You’re most welcome, Jackson. The two most dangerous phrases in the English language are...But this time it's different and We've always done it that way.
Great reflection today in realizing there is still so much to look forward to. To be discovered and infused into our collective thought patterns and aspirations. Seek the truth in all things and be curious for finding newness each day even in the same things we hold dear. Thanks David!
So true Joe. To have a curiosity sparked by love is the key.
Absolutely love this post and the horse manure fallacy. Makes me think of Y2K and predictions of "planes falling from the sky". Worst case we could have replaced all computers made before a certain year, and that's something we normally do anyway. The belief that "even to haul away the manure required horses, which produced even more manure." is terrible math. The haulers are removing much more than they leave. I guess all fallacies involve incorrect assumptions and some include poor math. I worked with a very smart engineer in a meat processing plant and he claimed "significant amounts of meat was reprocessed over and over for days on end (a never ending cycle resulting in very old meat in our batches)". This was because each batch had about 2% of rework in it. However, the amount of product from the initial batch decreases exponentially as more batches are produced. Pretty soon you are talking PPB and I wouldn't call that significant amounts.
"...The belief that "even to haul away the manure required horses, which produced even more manure." is terrible math." Spoken like a true Continuous Improvement guy.
It’s funny you say that because I’ve been reinventing myself for a while now because AI has been taking over my jobs. Sometimes, I’ve been in that position of thinking that I’m in trouble, but somehow, opportunities continue to appear, and I keep going. Now, that’s kind of the life of an entrepreneur, isn’t it?
Thanks for your awesome insights. ☺️
It is indeed. You are most welcome and thank you for your ever-present encouragement and support.
My pleasure! 😊
But, but…THIS time it’s different. I guess that is a contemplation for another day. Thanks for the reflection and the recommendation.
You’re most welcome, Jackson. The two most dangerous phrases in the English language are...But this time it's different and We've always done it that way.
Here’s to great new ideas! (Lifts a toast🍷)
Cheers, Teyani, to new ideas and an optimistic future.
Indeed. 🙏🏻